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Well Balanced | Financial Planning, Bucket-Based Investing, Market Perspective, Wealth Management. A passionate and entertaining look at money and investing in and for retirement. For those that enjoy podcasts like Smart Money, On Investing, and BiggerPockets, Well Balanced is worth adding to your feed. Disclosures about our firm and this podcast. Vector Wealth Management is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC). Registration as an investment adviser does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by securities regulators nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. A copy of Vector’s current written disclosure brochure filed with the SEC discusses among other things, Vector’s business practices, services, and fees, and is available through the SEC’s website at: www.adviserinfo.sec.gov. All content in this podcast is for information purposes. Opinions expressed herein are solely those of Vector Wealth Management, our staff, and guests. Material presented is believed to be from reliable sources, however, we make no representations as to its accuracy or completeness. All information and ideas should be discussed directly and in detail with your financial advisor prior to implementation. This podcast and related content are not intended to render personalized investment advice, nor should it be viewed as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell the securities or strategies discussed. Please note that neither Vector Wealth Management nor any of its agents give legal or tax advice. The firm is not engaged in the practice of law or accounting. Charts, graphs, and returns do not represent the performance of Vector Wealth Management or any of its advisory clients. Returns do not reflect the impact that advisory fees and other expenses would on the results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment or strategy will be suitable or profitable for a client’s portfolio. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Visit vectorwealth.com/regulatory for the firms form CRS and ADV.
Episodes
Friday Feb 02, 2024
Friday Feb 02, 2024
In our latest podcast episode, we talk about the Federal Reserve's recent stance on interest rates, sparked by Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell's remarks this week. Contrary to the anticipated rate cut in March, Powell suggested such measures might not be immediately necessary, stating, “We don’t have a growth mandate.”
The Fed’s comments have led to a recalibration of market expectations, underscoring the ongoing and significant influence that the Federal Reserve's outlook has on financial markets.
Our in-depth discussion touches on the broader economic context, particularly the U.S. debt situation. With the national debt at a staggering $34 trillion, we explore the challenges of refinancing a significant portion (~30% in 2024) of this debt in a potentially higher interest rate environment. This scenario is of interest (pun intended) given the recent uptick in Treasury borrowing costs and yields, which have risen from historically low levels in the past few years.
Our view: The anticipation of future rate cuts, even if delayed, remains a key factor in forward-looking stock markets, affecting stock volatility, bond yields, and investor sentiment.
Watch or listen to the full episode for more on the current economic and financial landscape. We spend time on the critical role of interest rates, market expectations, and the broader implications of the U.S. fiscal situation. Specifically: a projected one trillion dollars of interest payments currently expected in 2024.
Time Codes … Chapters:
00:16 … Fed Comments
01:52 … Pen Mightier Than Sword
03:22 … When Lower Interest Rates?
04:13 … Bi-Monthly Treasury Debt Auctions
06:28 … The Costs of Borrowing
09:10 … Treasury Credit Card
10:40 … The Risk-Free Rate
13:08 … Markets are Forward Looking
14:18 … After All Time Highs
16:01 … Politics 2024
16:55 … Price Swings Tend to be Clustered
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